Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
21 Utah St. 100.0%   6   29 - 3 15 - 1 29 - 3 15 - 1 +13.1      +6.5 24 +6.6 21 61.5 311 +15.9 14 +16.1 1
82 Boise St. 0.0%   19 - 12 10 - 6 19 - 12 10 - 6 +5.7      +2.9 83 +2.9 82 70.6 107 +3.9 110 +4.7 2
132 New Mexico St. 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 7 14 - 17 9 - 7 +2.2      +1.1 131 +1.1 134 70.9 100 +1.4 146 +3.5 4
143 Idaho 0.0%   17 - 13 9 - 7 17 - 13 9 - 7 +1.6      +0.9 142 +0.8 143 62.7 295 +1.9 141 +3.6 3
152 Nevada 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 8 12 - 19 8 - 8 +1.0      +0.5 154 +0.5 152 71.3 86 -1.0 181 +2.1 6
156 Hawaii 0.0%   17 - 12 8 - 8 17 - 12 8 - 8 +0.7      +0.3 157 +0.4 155 68.8 152 +2.2 138 +2.1 5
162 Fresno St. 0.0%   13 - 17 6 - 10 13 - 17 6 - 10 +0.1      +0.1 162 +0.1 163 68.1 165 -1.1 183 -1.1 7
172 San Jose St. 0.0%   16 - 15 5 - 11 16 - 15 5 - 11 -0.4      -0.2 172 -0.2 173 71.0 95 +0.7 154 -2.7 8
246 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   11 - 20 2 - 14 11 - 20 2 - 14 -4.8      -2.6 249 -2.2 238 70.3 114 -4.3 230 -8.6 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Utah St. 1.0 100.0
Boise St. 2.0 100.0
New Mexico St. 3.0 100.0
Idaho 3.0 100.0
Nevada 5.0 100.0
Hawaii 5.0 100.0
Fresno St. 7.0 100.0
San Jose St. 8.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Utah St. 15 - 1 100.0
Boise St. 10 - 6 100.0
New Mexico St. 9 - 7 100.0
Idaho 9 - 7 100.0
Nevada 8 - 8 100.0
Hawaii 8 - 8 100.0
Fresno St. 6 - 10 100.0
San Jose St. 5 - 11 100.0
Louisiana Tech 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Utah St. 100.0% 100.0
Boise St.
New Mexico St.
Idaho
Nevada
Hawaii
Fresno St.
San Jose St.
Louisiana Tech


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Utah St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6   0.0 0.1 0.9 16.6 26.5 20.1 11.5 10.6 7.1 4.5 2.1 0.1
Boise St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nevada 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fresno St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Jose St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Utah St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 59.2% 23.2% 9.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Boise St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nevada 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fresno St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Jose St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 59.2% 0.6 40.8 59.2
Sweet Sixteen 23.2% 0.2 76.8 23.2
Elite Eight 9.8% 0.1 90.2 9.8
Final Four 3.5% 0.0 96.5 3.5
Final Game 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Champion 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4